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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Bawang Chaji hired a new CFO from McDonald's. It is reported that Huang Hongfei, the former CFO of McDonald's China, left his post on October 14, 2024, and after a short break, he joined Bawang Chaji. According to informed sources, this move means that the listing process of Bawang Tea Ji is expected to accelerate.Shaanxi Construction Co., Ltd. and other companies invested in the establishment of building materials development company. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shaanxi Weihe Ecological Shaanxi Construction Building Materials Development Co., Ltd. was established, with Wang Fan as the legal representative and a registered capital of 20 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of building materials; Building block manufacturing; Water resources management. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly owned by Shaanxi Construction Engineering Thirteenth Construction Group Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Shaanxi Construction Co., Ltd., and Shaanxi Weihe Ecological Group Co., Ltd.


In the communication service sector, the daily limit of Bee Assistant was higher, and the communication service sector was higher. The daily limit of Xiangjiang and Bee Assistant in the city was higher. Three-dimensional communication and Beiwei Technology were previously closed, and Runze Technology rose by more than 10%. Century Hengtong, Halo New Network, Chaoxun Communication, Guangmai Technology and Runjian shares followed suit.Bank of Indonesia: It intervened "quite boldly" when the Indonesian rupiah fell. As the Indonesian rupiah hit a four-month low and approached the key level of 16,000 rupiah to the dollar, the Indonesian central bank intervened more actively in the market on Friday. Edi Susianto, executive director of the Monetary and Asset Securities Management Department of the Bank of Indonesia, said by SMS that in order to maintain market confidence, the central bank entered the spot, domestic non-deliverable forwards (NDF) and national debt markets. The Indonesian rupiah fell 0.4% to 15,994 to the dollar in early trading on Friday, the weakest intraday level since August 8, and the worst weekly performance since mid-November.Market News: The motion of impeaching South Korean President Yin Xiyue was reported to the South Korean National Assembly.


Guangzhou Metro won the Asian Games Avenue plot in Panyu District, Guangzhou with a reserve price of 1,183.96 million yuan. According to the website of Guangzhou Public Resource Trading Center, on December 13th, Guangzhou Metro Group Co., Ltd. won the Asian Games Avenue plot BD0210116 in Panyu District, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province with a reserve price of 1,183.96 million yuan. According to the transfer documents, the plot is planned to be a second-class residential land, a primary and secondary school land and a commercial land compatible with roads and transportation facilities; The parcel area is 99,936.54 square meters, of which the leased parcel area is 85,151.63 square meters, and the calculated floor area ratio is 118,396 square meters.Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors."Black Myth: Wukong" won two TGA awards and is competing for the best game of the year. On December 13th, the reporter learned that at the TGA(The Game Awards)2024 award ceremony, the domestic game "Black Myth: Wukong" won the best action game and the player's voice award, and the best game award is in the competition. Jiang Baicun, the director of the planning of Black Myth: Wukong, said in his acceptance speech: "It is a great honor to win this award. First of all, I want to thank every player. It is your support that makes such an oriental myth about courage and wisdom shine on such a stage. I also want to thank the organizers for not setting up an' air wall' during my coming to power." (Dahe Finance Cube)

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